Clearly, I was wrong last week. No one saw Panthers-Bucs only scoring 21 points combined. Also the NE-LAC was a major flop. 2 of my games I honed in on failed big time. Deshaun Watson and DeAndre Hopkins against the Seahawks. Who saw that coming? I know I didn’t. I may have started them in a fantasy league of mine but they were ignored almost entirely in my optimal lineup. I consider optimal, safe and sure bets. If you look at last weeks optimal lineup, I wasn’t taking many risks. I was trying to win you and I some money. That’s the thing about fantasy sports and sports in general. Its a tough game. I’m 2-6 in 1 league but find myself 4th in points scored. Its the luck of the draw. Like I stressed last week, money and luck trump over knowledge.
I’ll take another swing at it this week. Feel free to agree or disagree.
QB – Deshaun Watson 8,100 (vs IND)
RB – Adrian Peterson 5,600 (vs SF)
RB – Alfred Morris 5,500 (vs KC)
WR – Devin Funchess 5,400 (vs ATL)
WR – Ted Ginn Jr. 5,000 (vs TB)
WR – Will Fuller V 7,000 (vs IND)
TE – Jack Doyle 4,300 (vs HOU)
FLEX – Evan Engram 5,600 (vs LAR)
DEF – Eagles 3,300 (vs DEN)
Immediately you can question 2 things here. Why Funchess for starters. Kelvin Benjamin just left town and even before then, Funchess was Newtons favorite target. He led the team in targets once Olsen went down. With Benjamin out of town and Greg Olsen still hurt and no other viable option, it has to be Funchess.
Deshaun Watson can be another one here. But he has a favorable matchup and is lighting up the scoreboard. Will Fuller seems to find the end zone with every reception he makes. They have priced DeAndre Hopkins out of reach. At 9,200 he is 1,400 more than the next WR Julio Jones. Will Fuller sits at 7k and with the 2,200 you essentially gained by picking Fuller over Hopkins it allows upgrades elsewhere.
I’m not a practically big believer in Adrian Peterson but the numbers don’t lie. SF is dreadful and they currently rank 32nd against the run. The only thing that worries me is with Drew Stanton throwing the ball, they will stack the box and wipe out the run. Despite that, I still believe he is the safe bet here.
Alfred Morris and Ted Ginn Jr. are 2 of my boom or bust guys. We know now Alfred Morris is starting in place of Ezekiel Elliott during his 6 game suspension. KC is tough against the run but we can’t ignore the Cowboys offensive line. They will open up holes for Morris and I believe at the worst, he’s good for a goal line TD. Which brings me to my 2nd choice, Ted Ginn Jr. I think the Bucs-Saints will have a high scoring game. The Saints defense has looked solid but it’ll be hard to stop all the Bucs weapons. Which will cause Brees to throw down the field and throw often. Ted Ginn will benefit here. Expect a solid day from him and at 5,000 anything more than an average game is a win here.
My 2 TEs I chose Jack Doyle and Evan Engram in the flex are their respective teams entire offenses. Doyle goes against the Texans who down many key players can’t seem to stop opposing offenses. I don’t think Doyle will repeat last weeks effort when he caught 12 balls for 121 yards and a score but I expect an 8-80-1 type game from him. Solid production for 4,300. Evan Engram goes against a tough Rams defense. He went against the Seahawks and Broncos in his last 2 games and still walked away each week with a touchdown. If Sterling Shepard sits out another week, Eli will have no choice but to keep feeding Engram. Which in turn feeds our point total.
The Eagles defense to me doesn’t need any explaining. They’ve been a great unit and with them going against the suddenly dreadful Broncos defense. They make sense. They are ranked in the middle of the pack for defenses but they will give you a good return on your investment.
Good luck everyone this week, check out my facebook page @theDailySpike for more information and any other questions you may have!